This is the real chance of snow in Nottinghamshire this November as a cold snap looms according to the latest UK forecasts

Here is what trusted forecasts say for Nottinghamshire right now.

National headlines love a wintry scare just as the clocks settle into darker evenings. Talk of deep drifts and icy blasts always lands as we edge into mid November, raising the same question across Nottinghamshire every year.

Over the past fortnight, the county has felt mild for the season, often warmer than the usual daytime mark of 10C. People remember that this time last year parts of Nottinghamshire woke to a proper blanket of white after sub-zero nights. So what about the days ahead.

The Met Office and BBC Weather signals that cut through the hype

Let’s start with what the most widely used forecasters are saying now. The current BBC Weather outlook, running up to Tuesday 25 November, shows no signal for snow in Nottinghamshire. Daytime temperatures sit between 9C and 12C on most days, which keeps any wintry showers at bay across low ground.

There is a hint of a sharper edge midweek, with an overnight low of 0C forecast on Wednesday 19 November. That could bring a grass frost in more rural spots at dawn, with car windscreens needing a scrape, but it still looks too marginal for flakes in the city or suburbs.

The Met Office paints a similar picture for the coming week, keeping things on the cool side rather than truly cold. Commuters planning early school runs should allow a few extra minutes, yet the big seasonal shift that fills the tabloids has not landed here just yet.

November numbers for Nottinghamshire and the dates that matter

So far this month, daytime values have held well above the average 10C, and that recent mild spell is part of the reason why ground temperatures remain relatively high. When the air cools later this week, surfaces still give off stored warmth, which makes settling snow harder in towns and on main roads.

The period to watch starts midweek. Forecast charts flag the first proper nip on Wednesday 19 November, followed by a more dynamic setup into Thursday 20 November. That is when northern England picks up the focus, with colder air trying to tuck in behind a passing system.

For Nottinghamshire, the takeaway is simple. Conditions turn colder for a time, but the baseline forecast still keeps the county on the rain side rather than the snow side, especially by day.

• Key watchpoint for residents is Thursday 20 November, when any southward shift in the wintry zone would be most likely.

The WX Charts snow signal up north and how far south it could clip Nottinghamshire

Model watchers will have spotted that WX Charts, using MetDesk data, currently models snowfall for northern parts of England on Thursday 20 November. Its most recent run points to significant snowfall over Yorkshire and the North West that day, with higher ground most exposed and lower levels seeing a wintry mix.

Now the what if. As we move closer to 20 November, small shifts in track can nudge the boundary farther south. The source material suggests there is every chance the snow zone could drift a little, which is why people across Nottinghamshire should keep a close eye on updates between Tuesday and Thursday.

Short-range models update several times a day and can sharpen the detail inside 48 hours. A jog of 30 to 50 miles is all it takes to flip a cold rain into a slushy hour at breakfast, especially for villages on higher routes near the county’s northern fringe. That said, the most likely outcome keeps the steadiest snow to the north while our patch sees chilly rain or sleet on the edge.

Remember last year’s early burst of snow that arrived after a sharp plunge in temperatures. This setup looks different. Ground is not as cold, daytime values hold near 9C to 12C for much of the next fortnight, and the overnight dip to 0C on the 19th does not last long. The broad signal remains a cool snap rather than a county-wide snow day.

So where does that leave plans. Schools, commuters and weekend walkers can carry on as normal while checking the lunchtime updates midweek. If the track tilts south on Wednesday, you will hear about it quickly. If not, Nottinghamshire stays in that familiar late-autumn groove, brisk and bright between passing showers, with the true wintry bite parked just to our north.

One small caution for early risers comes on rural backroads where a local frost can hang in low spots after dawn. Footpaths may feel slick before the sun lifts, and cyclists might notice a few gritty patches near field gates. Weather maps has hinted at brief sleet on high routes if showers time with cooler air, though it fades fast as temperatures nudge up through the morning.

In short, enjoy the cold snap theatre without overbuying rock salt. Keep an eye on the Met Office and BBC Weather feeds late on Wednesday, and if models trend south there will be enough lead time to switch an early bus or leave ten minutes sooner for the school run.